In each round, Botafogo looks in the rearview mirror at the closest Palmeiras in the fight for the Brasileirão title. But how real is the threat, with a seven point lead and 14 games to play? With the defeats suffered in sequence by Alvinegro, it seems that the championship is completely open. But according to some calculations Alviverde will have to shine if they want to win the tenth cup.
This is because, considering that Abel Ferreira’s team maintains the same 61% return, it is enough for Glorioso to win all their home matches. It would mean reaching 72 points, and Palmeiras would score between 69 and 70. In other words, even if they were defeated in the other seven matches, including the Rio classics against Fluminense and Vasco, the league leaders Botafogo would win the title.
A determining factor in this dispute is precisely the direct comparison between the teams with the best championship so far. After all, Alviverde will visit Alvinegro on November 1, in a duel that may not even take place at Nilton Santos Stadium, due to the show’s schedule. Both, in fact, find themselves facing the same logistical obstacle in their homes in this final stretch.
If San Paolo won, this simulation could draw. In this case, the decision would be based on the number of victories (Botafogo’s large lead, currently 16 to 12), followed by goal difference (current four-goal margin in favor of Bruno Lage’s team).
List of Botafogo home matches:
Goiás, Athletico-PR, Cuiabá, Palmeiras, Grêmio, Santos and Cruzeiro
Another usage scenario:
If Palmeiras follows the pace of the second leg, so far, with 66.6% success (three wins, one draw and one defeat), this would force the sensational Brasileirão to score a little more and reach at least 73 points. It is worth remembering that Fogão won the first round with the same 51 as today. This means, therefore, that it would be enough to make a return round with a fifteenth place.
The scenario that puts Alviverde in control of the cup is to have a better performance of at least 20% than its rival from now until the end.
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Source: Terra
Rose James is a Gossipify movie and series reviewer known for her in-depth analysis and unique perspective on the latest releases. With a background in film studies, she provides engaging and informative reviews, and keeps readers up to date with industry trends and emerging talents.
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