Vice-leader, Santos team has a ‘final’ against Novorizontino in the next round, but gives priority to the search for access
THE victory Santos against Botafogo-SP was not brilliant football in Ribeirão Preto. However, the match that closed the 27th round of the Brazilian League B Series It marks the third consecutive triumph for the Santos team, increasingly consolidated in the G-4. The team already foresees a return to the national elite, just under a year after falling for the first time in history.
According to the Department of Mathematics of the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Santos has a 71.7% chance of returning to the first division. The percentage is simply not higher than that of New Horizonleader of Serie B, with 50 points, which has 92.8%.
Possibility of access to Serie A
- Novorizontino: 92.8%
- Saint: 71.1%
- Villa Nova: 70.5%
- Sports: 50.9%
- Mirasol: 37.4%
- America-MG: 19.1%
- Avai: 15.1%
- Ceara: 14.6%
- Amazon: 12.9%
The two teams will play the “early final” in the next round, on Monday 23, at 19:00 (Brasilia time), in Vila Belmiro, Santos. The winner takes the lead. The third team with the most chances of accessing, according to the UFMG, is Vila Nova, with 70.5%.
Since the current format, with four teams gaining access, the average for the fourth-placed team to advance is 62.1 points. Considering this number, Santos needs 13 more points, out of a possible 33, a success rate of 39%.
Last place for Serie A every year in the current format
- 2006: America-RN, 61 points
- 2007: Victory, 59
- 2008: Gremio Barueri, 63 years old
- 2009: Atletico Goianense, 65
- 2010: America-MG, 63
- 2011: Sports, 61
- 2012: Victory, 71
- 2013: Figueirense, 60 years old
- 2014: Avaí, 62 years old
- 2015: America-MG, 65
- 2016: Baia, 63 years old
- 2017: Parana, 64
- 2018: Goias, 60 years
- 2019: Atletico-GO, 62
- 2020: Cuiabá, 61
- 2021: Avaí, 61 years old
- 2022: Vasco, 62 years old
- 2023: Atletico-GO, 64
The cornerstone of Atlético-GO in 2023, however, is Fábio Carille’s goal, as the Santos coach said after the victory in Ribeirão Preto. “It’s a group that likes challenges and challenges to overcome, regardless of being able to play better, at this stage the important thing is to win and be at the top. We need five wins in 11 games to reach 64 points and be guaranteed (with access) as soon as possible, then we’ll think about the title”, analyzed the coach.
For him, the difficult moments experienced in Serie B serve as a warning against premature euphoria. “I think that confidence and everything else have their moments of grace. In the first leg we had a bad sequence of four defeats, now there have been three draws and a draw before the three consecutive victories,” he reflects.
The season represents the “success” at Paulista and the place in the Copa do Brasil 2025
After falling to Serie B, in 2023, Santos changed management. Marcelo Teixera took over from Andres Rueda. In addition to having to face the ordeal of the second division, the president needed to reformulate the squad so that it was sustainable, with financial constraints and out of the Copa do Brasil, the competition that pays the most in the country.
The management’s expectation was to do well in the Campeonato Paulista, which seemed almost unrealistic before the start of the competition. However, Santos managed to reach the final of the tournament, against Palmeiras. The team won the first match, but had a turnaround in the return match and finished second.
In Serie B, Santos started with some tranquility, but corrected a negative sequence with four consecutive defeats. The moment motivated the fans to attack the club bus on a highway. At that time, Teixeira He called for the unity of the fans and reiterated that the team had already achieved two seasonal objectives, with the season at Paulistão and the place in the Copa do Brasil 2025. Since then, Santos has lost only one match in Serie B, against Avaí.
Santos’ defeats in Serie B
- 4th round – Amazonas 1 x 0 Santos
- 7th round – America-MG 1 x 0 Santos
- 8th round – Santos 1×2 Botafogo-SP
- 9th round – Novorizontino 3×1 Santos
- 10th round – Operario-PR 1 x 0 Santos
- 21st round – Santos 0 x 1 Avaí
Source: Terra
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