24 governors, 260 state deputies and 285 deputies of the National Assembly will be elected in a claim that expands the problems of the controversial presidential elections of 2024
THE Venezuela It will pass through new elections this Sunday, 25, after the Controversy of the presidential presidential of July 2024. This time will be elected government and federal governors and deputies, in a complaint already marked by issues while several opponents are arrested, exiled or disabled. Finally, this election will also occur in Thisterritory that Nicolás Maduro complaint of Guiana.
24 governors, 260 state deputies and 285 deputies of the National Assembly will be elected. Chavism is provided with a candidate for each state and hopes to keep the majority at the national assembly. The opposition is divided, with María Corina Machado calling it to a boycott e Henrique Capriles claiming that the Venezuelans would vote.
There are about 21 million Venezuelani in shape to vote. The polls open at 6 in the morning (7 from Brasilia) and close to the local time, provided that there are no voters in line. Usually, time is extended and the results are known only at night.
After the contested victory of Nicolás Maduro on July 28, there are those who wonder why another election. In addition to bringing the legitimacy to the regime, Maduro tries to double his power by putting more governors and Chavist deputies.
“Maduro needs to recover political legitimacy and an electoral simulacrum would be sufficient, in theory, to seem a democrat, according to his calculations,” explains the Venezuelan politician and teacher in the Valencia College della Florida, María Isabel Puerta Riera.
Divided opposition
The opposition, once again, is fragmented. “The opposition comes fractured by the opposite opinions of the electoral participation and weakened by the lack of political ability to achieve the electoral advantage he had on June 28,” says Puerta Riera.
María Corina, who lives in clandestinity after the elections of July 28, asks for a boycott, with the motto “I have already voted on July 28”.
“May 25 is not an election, it’s a scam. It’s a trap,” he said in a video released on its social networks. “That’s why I ask you something very simple: this Sunday you go home. Don’t leave. Do not obey. Leave the streets empty. Let them be alone. It may be clear who has power: you.”
The boycott strategy has already been used by the opposition to the 2020 legislative elections and produced the current chavist by majority in Parliament. Chavism currently has 253 of the 277 deputies, in addition to the support of 19 of the 23 state governments. The regime wants to expand these numbers and it seems that it should reach.
“The unpredictability is correct to democracies? You cannot be sure of who will win the elections, there may be surprises between the first and second round”, underlines Xavier Rodríguez Franco, Venezuelan politician and weekly producer of Podcast Mirada.
“In the case of a regime like Venezuela, the scenario is more than expected. Most likely, most of the controversial positions will continue in the hands of Chavism. The opposition now presents itself in very, very difficult circumstances,” he says, highlighting the division between mature critics.
While María Corina defends the boycott, another dissent of the opposition, commanded by the Capiles presidential times, tries to avoid abstention. He himself is a candidate for a seat in Parliament.
“We Venezuelans have a voice and this voice cannot be silenced,” wrote Capriles on its social networks. “Maduro wants a country without hope and discharged; he will not reach this. We will use our vote to ratify the change we want. The inaction and passivity will only reach the tranquility of power.”
“The government has co -opted some opposition parties and there are others who are simply tired of this strategy that has never worked,” said David Smilde, professor at Tulane University who studied Venezuela 30 years ago. “So what we will have is a partial boycott, which means that the government will easily come to victory and can say:” We have had elections, the opposition has not participated “. This will be a shot from the culatra for the opposition”.
The crack in the Venezuelan opposition is not new. Fragmented in several leaders (who has crossed Capriles, Juan Guaidó And now if you get cling to María Corina), the opposition oscillates between the boycott of the elections and the participation since then Hugo Chávez.
The exception was the election of last year, when several parts managed to join the figure of María Corina. The result, however, was the same as the usual: the national electoral council declared a winning maduro without evidence. The opposition collected almost 80% of the minutes They would have demonstrated the victory of Edmundo González Urrutiacandidate who replaced the disqualified María Corina.
Today, González Urrutia is sailed in Spain, María Corina has entered the clandestinity and many other leaders were arrested or fled from the country. The CNE website, where the electoral data should be, has decreased from the day after the elections.
At the beginning of this month, the CNE decided to remove the QR code which appeared in the minutes of the calculation printed by the electronic ballot boxes. The minutes are considered the definitive proof of the electoral results.
For Rodríguez Franco, Chavism empties the political meaning of the vote? A popular tool for change? as a strategy for fragmentation of the opposition.
“In addition to repression, it is the most efficient division tool that the government has. Because now the opposition has been fragmented again among those who say that there can be no new elections if the previous one is not respected and those who do not want to give up political spaces,” he observes.
However, even if these opposition candidates win some regional positions, they will not be able to govern freely, the analyst follows. “So preserving these spaces is very artificial because the mayors and governors of the opposition have no autonomy to govern – not to mention the budget cuts imposed by chavism while the sanctions still remain. It is a very difficult dichotomy.”
In the middle of this crossroads, the Venezuelans lose hope in the electoral process. Estimates of the date on which an analysis indicates an electoral participation on Sunday between 30 and 35%. “Voting for what?” He asked AFP Santos Realoza, a 76 -year -old pensioner in a Caracas neighborhood. “They stole the presidential” July 28 and Sunday “I will stay at home”.
“We fight for the victory,” said Yaczon Rivas, a 46 -year -old unionist in line with Chavism, in turn. “The policies that are applied by [presidente dos Estados Unidos, Donald] Trump is hurting us, we are facing a satanic and voracious enemy. “
“I believe that participation will be very low, not only because of the frustration after the electoral fraud, but also because of the political persecution that continues to be used to intimidate the general population. There is fear of the vote, not only for the possibility of fraud, but also for the consequences”, says María Isabel Puerta Riera.
Arrests
These elections occur in a scenario in which more than 900 people are considered political preyAccording to the Criminal Forum of the Venezuelan NGOs, many of which are important names of opposition, such as Perkins Rocha, spokesman for María Corina; Williams d’Avilla, deputy and ally of Corina; María Oropeza, coordinator of the Venezuela Venezuela party in Portuguese, whose arrest was broadcast live on the networks; among others.
Last Friday 23, the Minister of the Interior, Diosdado Cabello, announced The arrest of the opponent Juan Pablo Guanipawhich was connected to an alleged “terrorist network” that he would pay against the legislative elections.
Guanipa lived in clandestinity and was a collaborator near María Corina, who called him “brother”. The opponent was a member of the Parliament elected in 2015, controlled by the opposition. He was vice -president in 2020, when Juan Guaidó presided over the Chamber and was recognized as an interim president of Venezuela by the United States, Colombia and other countries.
The day before, Maduro had said that more than 50 “mercenaries” had been captured. He accused the men of entering the country for Colombia, on the ground and on commercial flights, linked to alleged “terrorist acts” to sabotage the elections. On the same day, Caracas closed its air connection with Colombia.
Since then, access to the land, the sea and the air to the country has been limited, according to a joint resolution of defense ministries, interiors and justice.
Elections in Táquibo
That will be part of the Venezuelane elections for the first time is Essequibo, the gigantic region full of oil that has been questioned for over a century with Guyana.
In theory he will be elected governor and eight deputies in the area of 160,000 km² on which Venezuela has no control.
Nobody in the same Essaquibo can participate. According to AFP, the voting centers will be in the border of Bolivar, where just over 21,400 voters live.
“Our desire to recover historical and territorial rights and beyond the Guyana Estoquiba is unwavering,” said the Venezuelan dictator on Wednesday, using the name attributed to the territory after a referendum of annexation in 2023.
The president of Guinana, Irfan thereHe said that the process was a show of the desperation and propaganda of Venezuela, although he identified himself simultaneously with a threat. “The fraudulent elections that Venezuela tries to perform in our territory are not only illegal, but they are an act of clear hostility. This threat is not only addressed to Guyana. Mare regional peace.”
“There is no jurisdiction or exercise sovereignty,” explained Ricardo De Toma, Venezuelan researcher of the Essequibo theme at the Meira Mattos Institute of Rio de Janeiro. “The elections are symbolic, the mandate will be symbolic”
“It is a provocation and, moreover, an attempt to mobilize the population by appealing to a patriotic feeling,” explains Puerta Riera./With AFP and AP
Source: Terra
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