“Altivoun Serena” is the entrances of experts for Brazilian diplomacy to face the premature and irrational attitude of the President of the United States by saying that it will tax all Brazilian production in 50%
As with Mexico and Canada, the rate of the President of the United States Donald Trump against Brazil, decreed the ninth, was accompanied by political motivation. The measure establishes the new 50% rate on the import of Brazilian products.
In the Mexican case, the pretext was the entry of drugs to the United States. The threat of territorial analysis arrived in the Canadian. In both episodes, involuntarily on internal themes, Trump ended up damaging his local allies.
In Canada, Justin Trudeau’s liberal party has increased by 25 points in the polls between January and April, winning the elections of that month against the conservatories – something that was unlikely before Trump’s entry on the scene.
In Mexico, President Claudia Sheinbaum, already popular, has seen her approval grow even more. The same happened in Australia, where the Labor Anthony Albanese passed his rival ally in Trump at once a year and in the May elections. And also in Denmark, Trump’s premature interest in Greenland has strengthened the local government.
In the Brazilian case, the political prejudice of the tariff appears in the mentions of the Supreme Court (Stf): regulating the great technologies or from the Bolsonaro process. Trump’s electoral rhetoric is again at the service of the destabilization of foreign democratic institutions for the benefit of its internal narrative. The background is the discomfort of the occupant of the White House with the strengthening of Brics and the discussion on the possibility that its members exchange outside the dollar standard.
Decommented commercial balance
What can Brazil learn from previous cases? Perhaps the main teaching is in the posture of serene heights. Mexico President Claudia Sheinbaum was exemplary. He spoke to the Mexican people, refusing to climb the Trump Arena. He defended the sovereignty of his country, refused any attempt to humiliate and appropriately of the patriotic discourse without aggression, but firmly. He has shown a disposition of dialogue without giving up national interests. And with this, he gained respect, even Trump himself.
Lula also has a further advantage: the economic arguments used by Trump are fragile. Unlike most main countries, Brazil has a commercial deficit with the United States, not surplus for over 15 years. This makes room for a constant economic speech – and, on a symbolic level, a legitimate position of victims of unjust retaining. As for Brics, the Brazilian government should remember US negotiators according to which the country has not entered the new Chinese silk route so as not to prawn the United States, but new rates could push us in this sense.
The rate reaches the key sectors
Politically, it is also clear that Trump’s real goal are the decisions of Brazilian justice, not the executive. This makes it difficult for Bolsonarism to blame lula for the conflict, even if they are already trying. It will be up to the government not to slip into this narrative and let this narration take responsibility. The executive will be responsible for the defense of the judiciary. Therefore, the Supreme Court of the Federal Government is approaching in defense of national sovereignty, while attracting non -polarized public opinion, as well as strategic economic sectors that will be damaged directly by the wide range.
This is not just a symbolic problem. The rate reaches the key sectors of Brazilian economic steel, cellulose, meat, machines, which use millions and stiffen entire production chains. It affects the exchange rate, puts pressure on the dollar, increases the cost of living. Mexes stability.
It can also move public perception. By attacking Brazil with a false argument, Trump helps Lula to reposition his image: from the polarizing leader to Stady unjustly attacked by a foreign rival. The episode unites, out of necessity, manager and judiciary, government and industry, nationalists of various shades.
The real challenge of the real government will be to resist Trump’s economic provocation. With the United States, Brazil must negotiate with discretion, albacie, serenity and respect, making it clear that judicial issues adapt to the judiciary – which, in Brazil, is autonomous, independent and acts within the constitutional limits.
If Lula knows the dose of diplomacy firmly, the clash with the phlegm and rhetoric with prudence, it could be larger. It can transform the crisis into an opportunity and have rupture, electoral credits. And above all, it can show the world – and to the Brazilians – that the country does not accept to be treated as a republic.
Beto Vasques does not consult, works, has actions or receives funding from any company or organization that can benefit from the publication of this article and has not revealed any relevant bonds beyond its academic position.
Source: Terra
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