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As we approach the directions to the Grammyon November 7th, the Rolling Stone is looking at 10 different categories. For each, we predict the nominees, as well as who will (and who should) win on show night. Grammy.

“There were so many incredible recordings,” he says JJ ItalianHead of Global Music Curation and Discovery at Spotify. This makes the category prediction Record of the Year — which pays homage to the recorded version of a song and whose prize is awarded to all the people involved in its creation — a widely open game, and which attentive listeners can have a lot of fun trying to predict. Italian says that the distinction between Song and Recording remains important in the way pop music is thought of. “It’s really cool that there’s a tradition where we think about song structure and recording annually,” he says. “Nowadays, pop music moves so fast that the little details can get lost.”

Record of the Year – Our Predictions

• Sabrina Carpenter“Manchild”
• Playboi Carti & The Weeknd, “TIMELESS”
• Lady Gaga“Abracadabra”
• Kendrick Lamar feat. SZA“luther”
• Chappell Roan“The Subway”
• ROSÉ & Bruno Mars“APT.”
• Tyler, the Creator feat. GloRilla, Sexyy Red, & Lil Wayne“Sticky”
• Alex Warren“Ordinary”

Who Will Win?

Kendrick Lamar feat. SZA, “luther”

“luther” of Lamar has a timeless feel that isn’t just limited to the dreamily utilized sample of its eponymous soul legend’s 1982 duet, Luther Vandrosswith Cheryl Lynn, “If This World Were Mine.” The duet of kendrick and SZA would mean a back-to-back win for the Compton rapper, who took home the award for Record of the Year put “Not Like Us” in February. “That was a very important moment,” he says Italianwho notes that that song’s dominance “simply fluctuated” to the rise of the track’s most chill-out of GNX. This continued dominance could be an important factor, according to Italian: “When the moment is undeniable, or when [o sucesso de uma música] It’s not necessarily about the composition, but about how it becomes a time capsule for the year, those are the recordings that, more often than not, win in this category.”

Who Should Win?

ROSÉ & Bruno Mars, “APT.”

“APT.”from ROSÉ and Bruno Marsit’s not just a contagious culture shock; is an expertly crafted track that fits perfectly into the spirit of the category, according to Italian. He states, “I personally feel it’s one of the best engineered and arranged recordings I’ve heard in a long time — particularly the pre-chorus. The arrangement and the way the pre-chorus was recorded is a masterstroke.”

Candidate Analysis

The nominees field forecast points to songs that captured specific cultural moments in 2025:

• Lady Gaga with “Abracadabra” was a hit in streaming which, according to Italianwas released at exactly the right time. He describes the track as “such a definitive song from Gaga at a time when it seemed like the world needed just that.”
• Chappell Roan with “The Subway” is classified by Italian as “an incredible song and, as a recording, extremely strong”.
• The ballad of Alex Warren, “Ordinary”filled a gap in 2025 pop by exploring what Italian calls it “something that’s kind of familiar, but was missing.”
• Sabrina Carpenter and your track with ringtone twang, “Manchild”celebrate what Italiano defines as “Sabrina’s second year of ubiquitous songs”.
• “TIMELESS”from Playboi Carti and The Weekndis seen as a turn of consecration in the form of an elegant lament.
• “Sticky”from Tyler, the Creator (with GloRilla, Sexyy Red and Lil Wayne), is described as a possession (track with several rappers) full of twists and brass, which fuses multiple styles and voices for an explosive party.

This article was originally published by Rolling Stone USA, by Maura Johnston, on October 9, 2025, and can be seen here.

• alex warren

• bruno mars

• CHAPPELL ROAN

• grammy

• Grammys 2026

• Record of the Year

• Kendrick Lamar

• Lady Gaga

• Playboi Carti

• sabrina carpenter

• Tyler the Creator