Thursday’s victory against Cruzeiro brought Sao Paulo closer to the threat of relegation in the Brazilian championship. After the 31st round of the match, the Tricolore enjoys an 8-point advantage over Vasco, the first to enter the drop zone.
According to data from the Federal University of Minas Gerais (UFMG), Sao Paulo has only a 1% chance of falling. Corinthians, also from Sao Paulo, are also in a more comfortable position, with 40 points and a 3.7% chance of relegation.
Vasco, despite the away win against Cuiabá, remains in a very uncomfortable situation in the Brasileirão 2023. The Rio team has a 60% chance of falling. América-MG and Coritiba are practically relegated, while Goiás also finds itself in a very difficult position.
See relegation chances (Source: UFMG):
1-America-MG 99.996%
2-Coritiba 99.91%
3-Goiás 79.0%
4-Vasco 60.0%
5-Bahia 16.9%
6-Santos 15.6%
7-Cruzeiro 12.3%
8-International 7.5%
9-Cuiabá 4.0%
10-Corinthians 3.7%
11-Sao Paulo 1.0%.
Source: Terra

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