Flamengo took the lead in the first match of the semi-finals of the Carioca Championship, with a 2-0 against Fluminense, last Saturday (09), at the Maracanã. Rubro-Negro still has the advantage of a draw in the overall score, meaning the Tricolore will have to win the second match with a three-goal difference to advance to the final phase. […]
Flamengo took the lead in the first match of the semi-finals of the Carioca Championship, with a 2-0 against Fluminense, last Saturday (09), at the Maracanã. Rubro-Negro still have the advantage of a draw in the aggregate score, meaning that Tricolor will have to win the second match by three goals to advance to the final.
Despite this, it is worth remembering that in the final of the last Cariocão, Flamengo also led 2-0, but Fluminese managed to come back to win 4-1. For next Saturday’s match, the Tricolore will still have the return of André, who was suspended following his sending off against Botafogo.
However, the Flamengo of 2024 is far from the team coached by Vítor Perreira last year. Under Tite’s leadership, the team has the best defense among Serie A teams this season and has yet to concede a goal. The only match in which Rubro-Negro was leaked in Rio was in a match played by the under-20 team, against Nova Iguaçu.
Given this scenario, see the opinion of our sector experts on the prospects of this comparison. Is the duel already decided?
Leandro Azevedo, Fluminense ENM sector manager.
“Fluminense’s situation becomes even more complicated against the undefeated Flamengo, which boasts the best attack and defense in the championship, arriving at the semi-final second leg of the Carioca with a lot of confidence. Flu will certainly play a better second match, especially with the return of midfielder André, absolute starter in coach Fernando Diniz’s tactical scheme, but the club will have to deal with the absence of Thiago Santos, sent off in the first match. classics in 2024, I believe that the Tricolor perhaps will not reach the final of the Campeonato Carioca. However, they could play a second, more competitive match. My guess is 1-0 Fluzão.”
João Scistowicz, head of the Flamengo sector at ENM:
“It is difficult to do something in an unpredictable sport like football, especially when it comes to a classic like Fla-Flu. However, Flamengo has shown admirable regularity, with particular attention to the defensive system, which has not yet conceded a goal, under the command of Tite in 2024. On the other hand, Fluminense has not yet found its best football this season, despite the Recopa title. It is worth mentioning that Fernando Diniz’s team was the last of the elite of Brazilian football to return from holidays, due to the Club World Cup, that is, they are in a phase of physical development behind their rivals, considering all the factors I believe that Flamengo has one foot in the final and on a numerical level I would say that the possibilities of one the turnaround would be 10%.”
Matheus Venial, head of the Fluminense sector at ENM:
“It is a complex scenario and very difficult for Fluminense to reverse, everything will depend on Fluminense’s attitude on the pitch. Tricolor’s opportunity is to see its mistakes and correct them so as not to repeat the terrible performance of the last match and fight for ranking. This situation has already occurred and Fluminense managed to overturn it, so nothing is definitive, there are still 90 minutes to go.”
Thomáz Monteiro, ENM Fluminense sector expert:
“Fluminense demonstrated its reaction power in the 2023 final, when it managed to overturn the score to 4-1 and reach the result with a 3-goal difference. However, in 2024 the team failed to deliver a convincing performance . He does not have a fast dynamic in passing exchanges, slow defensive and offensive transition, which leaves the defensive system vulnerable and the attack inoperative. So I believe the semi-final is defined and Flamengo will qualify for the final.”
Leonardo Meirelles, head of the Flamengo sector at ENM:
“It is very difficult to qualify. Last year, for example, Fluminense beat Flamengo 4-1 in the championship final, exactly reversing the 2-0 result of the first leg. Flamengo is in a much better moment than in ahead of the opponent, he has a big advantage, but you can’t relax when it comes to Fla-Flu.”
Marcos Serlen, head of the Flamengo sector at ENM:
“Flamengo gained a big advantage in the return match. Considering the football they played, I believe they will get a place in the final, but, as it is a classic, the decision is still open. Proof of this was the turnaround of Fluminense at Cariocão 2023”
Vinícius Azevedo, editor of the ENM:
“It is clear that Tite’s Flamengo today is a more ready team and is the favorite to take the decision thanks to the score built in the first match. At the same time, despite the bad moment, Diniz’s Influenza is one of the few teams in Brazil capable of challenging Rubro-Negro. The situation, in fact, is similar to the decision of the last Carioca: Gávea’s team reached the second match with a two-goal advantage. On that occasion, Tricolor reversed the score, beating by 4 at 1 and I won the title. That’s why, even though I see Fla as the favorite, I don’t see the match already defined.”
Source: Terra
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