THE Antarcticathe southernmost icy continent, is undergoing significant changes that could dramatically impact sea levels around the world. As the ice melts, the continent is rising out of the ocean, similar to how a sponge expands after being compressed. This phenomenon, known as post-glacial uplift, is gaining attention because of its potential to alter sea level rise predictions.
Ice loss
The loss of ice from Antarctica is one of the main factors driving this land rise. Recent research suggests that this process could reduce Antarctica’s contribution to sea level rise by up to 40%. However, this reduction depends directly on how well we can curb emissions from fossil fuels that trap heat and melt ice. On the other hand, if global warming continues unchecked, the effects could be even more severe.
Impact of sea level rise
According to glaciologist Natalya Gomez of McGill University, understanding this ripple effect is crucial, especially considering that around 700 million people live in coastal areas. The economic impact of rising sea levels could reach trillions of dollars by the end of this century, making this issue one of the most pressing issues of our time.
Earth’s mantle
The study, led by Gomez and his colleagues, examined the Earth’s mantle beneath the Antarctic ice sheet. They found that in certain areas, the mantle is especially malleable, which contributes to faster-than-expected land uplift. This phenomenon has occurred in a matter of decades, rather than thousands of years as previously thought.
Three-dimensional models used by the researchers showed that if global warming can be kept under control, sea level rise due to Antarctica could be as much as 1.7 meters by the year 2500. However, if ice melt exceeds land elevation, sea level rise could reach 19.5 meters, an alarming figure that highlights the need for immediate action.
Most affected locations
The research also highlights how different parts of the world will be affected unevenly by sea level rise. Low-latitude islands and coastal areas, such as those in Kiribati, are already facing significant challenges due to sea level rise, which is being exacerbated by ice loss in Antarctica.
Scientists warn that there are still uncertainties in the model, especially due to the lack of seismic data from certain regions of West Antarctica. In addition, current estimates do not take into account what is happening to the ice in Greenland and mountains around the world, which could make the scenario even worse.
The loss of ecosystems such as wetlands, which serve as natural barriers against erosion and filter water, will further increase the impacts on coastal areas. Preserving these areas and reducing greenhouse gas emissions are essential measures to mitigate the worst effects of global climate change.
Ability to predict changes
Finally, the research published in the journal Science Advances underscores the importance of continuing to advance our ability to predict these changes more accurately. Only with more accurate predictions will we be able to take the necessary steps to protect our future on a planet that is constantly changing.
Summary for those in a hurry:
- Antarctica is rising due to melting ice, a process known as post-glacial uplift.
- This phenomenon could reduce or worsen sea level rise, depending on future greenhouse gas emissions.
- Models indicate that sea levels could rise between 1.7 and 19.5 meters by 2500, depending on the global warming scenario.
- Low-latitude islands and coastal regions are most vulnerable to sea level rise.
- The research highlights the urgent need for action to reduce emissions and preserve coastal ecosystems.
- The study was published in Science Advances and emphasizes the importance of improving climate forecasts.
A look at the absurd outliers for #Antarctic sea ice this year and last year… 😳 Full seasonal cycle graphs available at zacklabe.com/antarctic-se…
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— Zack Labe (@zlabe.bsky.social) Jul 27, 2024 at 22:24
Source: Atrevida
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