Record temperatures in 2024 on land and sea have scientists wondering. Firstly, whether these anomalies are in accordance with the predicted patterns of global warming. Furthermore, they also represent a worrying acceleration of climate degradation.
Heat over the oceans remains persistently high despite a weakening of the El Niño. In fact, it has been one of the main drivers of record global temperatures in the last year.
Scientists are divided over the extraordinary temperatures of marine air. Some highlight that current trends are within climate model projections. Models for how the world will warm as a result of humans burning fossil fuels and forests. Others are perplexed and concerned about the speed of change, as the seas are the Earth’s great heat moderators and absorb more than 90% of anthropogenic warming.
Global Warming and El Niño
Earlier this month, the World Meteorological Organization announced that El Niño, a natural weather pattern associated with the warming of the Pacific Ocean, had peaked and had an 80% chance of disappearing completely between April and June, although its effects would continue.
The director of the Copernicus Climate Change Service, Carlo Buontemposaid it was a harbinger of things to come due to the increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere: “Unless we manage to stabilize them, we will inevitably face new global temperature records and their consequences”.
Record heat is becoming the norm, but the extent of the anomaly over the seas has caused concern.
Carlos Nobre, one of Brazil’s most influential climatologists, said no climate model accurately predicted how high sea surface temperatures would be during the last 12 months. Given the continued heat over the sea, he said 2024 was likely to be another unusually warm year for the world as a whole.
Source: Atrevida
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